Tavares

Jim Ryun, on the most reliable non-Cecil conversion available. Average 17:06.9, spread 2:16.1. Liam Ilea 16:05.7, Nicholas Alvarez 16:58.9, Navid Lozano 17:01.4, Emiliano Lozano 17:06.9, then Tahjier Neal 18:21.8, Eric Chen 18:22.7, Jonah Myers 18:23.0.

The Lozano brothers 5.5 seconds apart, a front four inside 17:07, and then a 1:15 cliff. Their sixth and seventh men are within 1.2 seconds of the fifth, so the pack is there — it is just a minute and a quarter behind where it needs to be. Fix that and Tavares is in the four-team scrum above.

Holloway graded 38.2 seconds slow off 40 returners. This is the best-supported conversion on the page.

Jim Ryun, on a conversion supported by 30 returners. Average 21:03.5, spread 2:03.7. Laken Hartley 20:13.6, Isabella Neal 20:25.6, Jimena Nava Garcia 20:27.8, Sophia Maldonado 21:53.3, Caitlyn Noll 22:17.3, Cassidy Noll 22:49.5.

A tight front three — 14 seconds covers all of them — and then a 1:26 gap. Same shape as the Tavares boys team seventh in their class: strong four or five deep, then a cliff. Both Tavares squads are top-eight in 3A on the same structural profile, which suggests a program building from the front.

Holloway at +47.1 off 30 runners is the firmest non-Cecil number on the girls' side. Nothing about this placement is an estimate.