Hagerty (Oviedo)

Spikes & Spurs, third behind Flagler Palm Coast and Ponte Vedra. Converted average 17:10.6, spread 1:33.2. Nate Winslow 16:25.7, Camden Thompson 16:28.0, Reid Henson 17:17.8, Wesley Lizon 17:42.8, Elijah Lizon 17:58.9.

Winslow ran essentially his state time (16:27.9 then, 16:25.7 now) and Thompson matched him, which is a strong front two. Behind them, Wesley Lizon was 16:31.5 at state and converts to 17:42.8 here — 71 seconds off, and a scorer who at his November level makes Hagerty a top-five 4A team.

See the sensitivity table above before treating eighth as a measurement. Hagerty is the team on this page most exposed to the fourteen-runner Spikes & Spurs number.

Spikes & Spurs, second behind Ponte Vedra. Converted average 21:03.1, spread 1:41.6. Madison Thompson 20:04.7, Jessica Leon 20:53.1, Briella Daly 20:53.9, Samantha Gartner 21:37.3, Tara Brewster 21:46.3, with Julia Shemas 21:47.0 and Connor Ferguson 22:05.0.

Thompson took 54 seconds off her state time and Gartner 16, and Leon, Daly and Brewster are new to the board. Eighth across the entire sensitivity range, which makes this the most stable placement in the bottom half of the top ten. Two through six fit inside 54 seconds.

5-man average 16:46.5 · 1-5 spread 1:21.8 · finished 22-27-39-47-128 · Trinity Prep

Nate Winslow 17:01.9 (16:19.9); Camden Thompson 17:06.4 (16:24.4); Reid Henson 17:19.4 (16:37.4); Wesley Lizon 17:31.0 (16:49.0); Elijah Lizon 18:23.7 (17:41.7). Then Liam Dula 19:00.1 (18:18.1); Nathan Garrison 20:39.3 (19:57.3).

5-man average 20:29.9 · 1-5 spread 1:35.1 · finished 19-41-48-80-81 · Trinity Prep

Madison Thompson 20:58.5 (19:35.3); Briella Daly 21:35.3 (20:12.1); Jessica Leon 21:44.4 (20:21.2); Elizabeth Henry 22:33.6 (21:10.4); Samantha Gartner 22:33.6 (21:10.4). Then Julia Shemas 22:41.7 (21:18.5); Natalia Monsanto 22:49.7 (21:26.5).

The largest single move on the board, and it comes with an asterisk you should read. Hagerty won the Trinity Prep Invite with 24 points, converted average 16:46.5, spread 1:21.8 — Nate Winslow 17:01.9 raw, Camden Thompson 17:06.4, Reid Henson, Wesley Lizon, Elijah Lizon.

Two weeks ago they were "two inside 16:28 adjusted and nothing else." The asterisk: Trinity Prep is rated +42.0 from nine pairs, one of the thinnest ratings that made the cut, and Ponte Vedra beat Hagerty head to head at Spikes & Spurs, 54 to 73 — Ponte Vedra is ranked fifteenth. Take fifteen seconds off the week-two courses and Hagerty falls to fourteenth. This is the least secure placement in the top ten.