Lydia Vincent

Did not race. Second at the Wild Bulldog Invitational on October 3 in 18:55.0, behind Mercer. Third in the North Port Invite elite race on September 19 in 18:24.8.

Second at the Wild Bulldog Invitational on Saturday in 18:55.0, behind Mercer. Third in the North Port Invite elite race on September 19 in 18:24.8.

Did not race. Third at North Port in 18:24.8, behind Poekert; third at Whispering Pines in August, ahead of Poekert. The newer meeting puts Poekert in front. Eighth.

Third at the North Port Invite in 18:24.8, a second and a half behind Poekert, her fastest time of the year by nine seconds. Second at Lecanto in 18:40.7, third at Whispering Pines in 18:34.1 behind Gaona-Zelaya and Hallick, and a Grayling Memorial win in 18:40.0 on a course we could not price. Four races, all inside 18:41 on the clock, and a better season figure than the two girls above her. Fifth to eighth on the rule and nothing else: Poekert beat her on Saturday, Tanenbaum beat Poekert at the Horse Park, and a loss stands until they meet again.

Did not race. Second at Lecanto in 18:40.7, third at Whispering Pines in 18:34.1, and a Grayling Memorial win in 18:40.0 by a minute and 46 seconds on a course we could not rate. Three races within seven seconds of each other on the clock. Fourth to fifth as Giles went in above her.

18:40.7 at Lecanto, 18:34.1 at Whispering Pines, and a win at the Grayling Memorial on Saturday by a minute and 46 seconds in 18:40.0, on a course we cannot rate. Seventh in 3A at state in 18:38.4. Three races, all within seven seconds of each other, and she has not lost to a 3A girl since Whispering Pines.

Up one spot, and she earned it twice over. Vincent was third at Whispering Pines in 18:34.1, and her two races now level out within about two seconds of each other, either side of 18:38. It was her double, Lecanto plus Whispering Pines, that exposed the bad Lecanto rating and forced the correction the whole state list is talking about, so she is simultaneously the girl the old number wronged and the girl who proved it. Her 18:38.4 from state says the current number is exactly right.

The girl the Lecanto correction cost the most. Second at Lecanto in 18:40.7, which we priced at 18:14 a week ago and now price at 18:37.1; third at Whispering Pines in 18:34.1, worth 18:39.3. Those two numbers agreeing within 2.2 seconds is the evidence that settled the offset, so she is simultaneously the runner who fell furthest and the reason we now trust where she landed. Her 18:38.4 at state says this is about right.

The one 3A girl who has already raced somebody good. Vincent finished second at the Lecanto Invitational in 18:40.7, 7.8 seconds behind Mary Summers of Seven Rivers Christian, who is the No. 1 runner in 1A and seventh in our overall Florida top ten. Vincent was seventh in 3A at state in 18:38.4, so on the raw numbers she opened at her November level in August, which is a real result.

How much better than that depends entirely on Lecanto. At the +26.7 the team rankings use, she converts to 18:14.0 and this is comfortably second. At the median of the same seven-runner sample, she converts to 18:37.5 and she is fifth. We are ranking her on the first reading because it is the one applied consistently everywhere else in this project, and flagging it because it is the weakest number on the page. Zephyrhills sent her to Lecanto alone.